fall25:  The AGENTIC OLYMPICS - Is Nvidia free to win this race or has wall street declared chiense walkover
MOTION AGAINST GETTING INTO DEBT CERTIFIED BY UNIVERSITIES 4 YEAR DEGREES
aka water water everywhere not drop to drink, intelligence everywhere not a trust map to link Most exciting time (July update) to be alive- supercomputer 1/7 thks Memphis! (more) ..why chat revolution of 2022 may have been by itself the least important of West Coast intel leaps every 3 years of 21stC
English Language Model- purpose to CODE trust and productive intelligences of millennials everywhere. 275 years of artificial cases from USA; 103 years from Konisberg Russia. Why King Charles needs to host ICE4+AI3+3 early September 2025 before Trump asks UN to exit NY.
Sub-ED: .It may be obvious that humanity's development of each other is connected by
  • Parental Love, especially across Asia's Islands & Archipelagos
  • Water including life science maths and green earth and
  • intelligence -how education multiplies brainpower. But intelligence @2025 is particularly curious driven by 10**18 more tech in last 60 years; since 2010 we've seen million fold more impact of satellites and computers :part 2 of what some call artificial intelligence); again from 1995 satellite acceleration of webs evolved borderless sharing of life critical knowhow through million fold human data-mapping devices including phone, text, camera uniting all human senses and steve jobs university in a phone; earlier Moores law's engineering of chips on both sides of Pacific delivered 1000 fold more tech 65-80 and another 1000 fold from 1980-95
    DO WE ALL LOVE TAIWAN as much as AI20s supercomputing & neural net wizards such as Jensen Huang, Demis Hassabis, Yann Lecun ? Perplexity explains why so few people linking to 20 million people leading every agency of AI that educational futures revolve round:No other small or island nation is currently aiming to train as many young AI professionals, relative to its population, as Taiwan—though Singapore, Hong Kong and Israel remain the benchmarks for workforce concentration123. In short: Taiwan’s AI talent drive is among the world’s most ambitious for its size, and it is on track to join or even surpass the global leaders in AI talent concentration in the coming years.Economic Impact: AI is projected to deliver over TWD 3.2 trillion (USD 101.3 billion) in economic benefits to Taiwan by 2030—more than 13% of current GDP. In 2023 alone, Google’s AI-related activities contributed TWD 682.2 billion and supported nearly 200,000 jobs in Taiwan3
  • HUMANITY & INTELLIGENCE's FUTURE
    Thanks to Jensen Huang the last decade has been most exciting of 75 years dad Norman Macrae 1:: 2 and then I have had privilege to question inteliligence's future. In 1951 Von Neumann suggested to dad to dad that Economists and Media might be generatively disastrous unless they celebrated questioning future's with engineers. Check out the world Jensen Huang has been inviting humans to linkin since he commited to designing million times more energetic computing including today's AI Chats and deep learning robots.
    India 2024 : 2
    India 2016
    Silicon Valley 2024
    2015 with Elon Musk move video to 97 mins 40 secs
    Valley March 2025.
    Taiwan 2024
    Taiwan XX
    UK Wash DC 2024Japan 2024
    .Is Human Species capable of celebraing intelligence as deeper (and more open) data flow than politicians printing paper money?
    Economistwater.com: Do you know that even the world's biggest nations will fail in 2020s unless their peopled celebrate copiloting waters and energy transmission (CLICK TO PUZZLES of 25% more in 2020s) maps inttrligent;y?
    MOTHER EARTHS CODES: ELERCTRIGICATION POWERS THINGS WITH ELECTRICITY: INTELLIGENCE EMPOWERS PEOPLES: FRESH WATER CONNECTS OUR HEALTH & EMOTIONAL COOL Please linkin with me chris.macrae@yahoo.co.uk (Wash DC) to add where we the peoples can add to these 4 spaces for unearthing humanity's intrlligence boosters-
  • Paris Intelligence Action summit February,
  • Santa Clara future of accelerrated computimng partners- nvidia santa clara Japan's Osaka Expo - 6 months in which any nations pavilion can virally survey intelligence of any other pavilion
  • Canada's G7- will all 7 nations leaders sink or swim together. Of course if we the peoples can decide what inteligences top 20 spaces need to be, we have a chance to change every education momemt og every age of person at every community around the world in line with the future of capitalism that The Economist premiered in 1976.Japan and silicon calley had payed with the first decade of moore's law - would other places be free to entrepremeurially join in the milliion times more compute in time?
  • .Fom Glasgow 1760, engineers artificail system designs became humans 3rd & if integrated respectfully with nature's man's most productive tool alongside bitech waves of water and heat. Long stiory short innovation opportunities and threats to humans in 2025 now that we have 10*18 more tech than 1960s dei=fine surval of commmunities and species everywhere. Ask eg Grok3 whose inteligences or agents 15 year old stidnts and teacgers most need to know about. Benchmark against 6 multipliers
    Jensen Huang or whomever platforms are needed for 2 main types of deep learning ai : bio and making humanoids safe2 Hassabis - whose ai pattern games have made biotech an innovation likely to imact more thahn half of gdp by 2035, often very locally, 100-year catch up with einstein's core maths e=mcsqaured published 1905
    Yann Lecun -we need an academic concerned with open sourcing worldwide student access to what's next - who do you choose if yann lecun not most open academic maths guy inspiring your peoplesMusk - well I am not sure anyone is jealous of musk as biggest brain in the world-don't expect him to suffer jounalist fools lighhtly
    6 Drew endy - or who is sharing with millennials hundreds of startup discoveries of biotech as locally regenerating as batures own source of energy photosyntheis has for millions of years played water and heat games on birthing living systems
    .Lets share some lunchclub updates -more at Economistdiary.com/2020 eg what are varous ways ordinary pcusers are expected to use the new ai pc- at different entry level- for example am i correct that one has to invest about 15000 dollars to be a lamda 3 connector through pc? Or for those (eg parents of 11 year olds in usa 2025-8) who just want eg emails whatsapp zoom (tiktok) linkedin algorithms to sort out 30 years of virtual connections whats min dell system to buy? I am also looking for chapter s[omsors of 2025report.com last of 75 years of mediation by my family and von neumann family and for 40 years The Economist 1951-1990 including now King Charles AI summits- from 1964 Tokyo Olympics win-win between both island post-emires (dad norman awarded honors by both)

    Friday, September 26, 2025

    changing maps of megawatt usage

    Grok: The Shift from Container Ships to AI Factories: Power Epicenters and Their Stakes for HumanityYes, your observation is profoundly relevant—and timely, as of September 30, 2025. The "2023 breakout year" for DeepMind's AlphaFold 3 (released May 8, 2023, revolutionizing biomolecular predictions with 50% better accuracy on protein-ligand interactions) and OpenAI's ChatGPT (launched November 30, 2022, sparking the generative AI boom) marked a pivotal inflection point. These breakthroughs accelerated AI's shift from niche tool to societal force, driving unprecedented energy demands. 
    Until then, container ships indeed held the mantle as the largest mobile "power centers," guzzling megawatts for propulsion and operations amid global trade's dominance (e.g., 90% of goods shipped by sea). But post-2023, we're in a race to build and map far larger, stationary "epicenters"—AI factories (hyperscale data centers optimized for AI training/inference)—that dwarf ships in scale and implications. Their locations, shared transparently, and prioritized for sustainable "action purpose" (e.g., equitable energy access, emissions reduction) will profoundly shape the nature of technology, economies, and the lives of 8 billion humans. Below, I break this down with data, contrasts, and forward-looking stakes.1. The Pre-2023 Baseline: Container Ships as Power BehemothsContainer ships were (and remain) engineering marvels of energy intensity, powering the arteries of globalization. Their main engines alone consume 20–80 MW for propulsion, with total onboard power (including auxiliaries like reefer units for refrigerated cargo) reaching 100+ MW on the largest vessels. This made them the biggest "centers" of megawatt-scale power use at sea, outpacing even supertankers in per-vessel draw during peak operations.

    • Key Stats (2023 and Prior):
      • Largest ships (e.g., Ever Ace class, 23,992 TEU capacity): ~75–80 MW main engine (e.g., MAN B&W 11G95ME-C, 101,300 SHP ≈ 75 MW) + 20–30 MW auxiliaries. Total: Up to 100–110 MW.
      • Fuel burn: 150–225 tons/day at 21–24 knots, equating to ~40–60 MW average draw (assuming 1 ton/hour ≈ 10–12 MW).
      • Shore power (when docked): 0.5–3.8 MW average (e.g., IMO estimates 1,950 kW max for largest; real-world peaks at 3.3–6.6 MW for 11,000 TEU with reefers).
      • Global fleet impact: ~90 million TEU capacity ships consume ~500–600 TWh/year in fuel energy (diesel equivalent), but per-ship scale was the "epicenter" benchmark—no single land-based entity matched a mega-ship's isolated MW draw.

    This era aligned with the Indochina trading belt's legacy: Ships as nodes in win-win networks, scaling trade for India's/China's populations but locked in fossil fuels (90%+ bunker oil), contributing ~3% of global CO2 (1B tons/year).2. The 2023 Breakout: AI's Power Surge Overshadows ShipsAlphaFold 3's protein-folding mastery (e.g., enabling faster drug discovery, cited in 20,000+ papers by 2025) and ChatGPT's viral adoption (100M users in 2 months) ignited an "arms race." AI training/inference demands exaFLOPS-scale compute, powered by GPU clusters (e.g., Nvidia H100s at 700W each). A single GPT-4 training run: ~30 MW continuous. This flipped the script—AI factories now eclipse ships as the largest power consumers, with individual facilities hitting GW-scale (1,000 MW+), 10–20x a mega-ship's draw.

    • AI vs. Ships: Direct Comparison (2025 Data):
      Aspect
      Container Ships (Largest, e.g., 24K TEU)
      AI Factories (Hyperscale Data Centers)
      Peak Power Draw
      80–110 MW (propulsion + ops)
      500 MW–5 GW+ (e.g., Meta's Hyperion: 2 GW)
      Average Continuous
      40–60 MW (cruising)
      100–1,000 MW (AI workloads)
      Energy per "Task"
      150–225 tons fuel/day (~40–60 MWh equiv.)
      2.9 Wh per ChatGPT query (vs. 0.3 Wh Google search); 30 MW for GPT-4 training
      Global Annual Total
      ~500–600 TWh (fleet-wide)
      415 TWh (all data centers, 2024) → 945 TWh (2030, 2x Japan's total)
      Growth Driver
      Trade volume (stable post-2023)
      AI boom: 12% YoY since 2017 → 30% YoY for accelerated servers
      Emissions Share
      ~3% global CO2 (shipping)
      1.5% global electricity (2024) → 3–4% by 2030; +1.7 Gt CO2 (2025–2030)
      Sources: IEA Energy and AI Report (2025); Goldman Sachs Research. AI's edge: Stationary, 24/7 baseload (vs. ships' intermittent ops), but geographically concentrated (45% US, 25% China, 15% Europe), straining local grids (e.g., Virginia: 25%+ state power).

    Post-2023, data center power doubled (2017–2023), now racing to 92 GW global capacity by 2027 (50% growth). Nvidia's chips alone enable ~7.3M H100 equivalents by 2026, demanding 10 GW+.3. The Race to Map Bigger Power Epicenters: The 30 Largest AI FactoriesWe're indeed "racing to map" these—Nvidia's "AI factories" concept (unveiled Data Center World 2025) frames them as production hubs for intelligence, not just storage. No exhaustive public list of the "30 biggest" exists (proprietary + rapid buildouts), but 2025 aggregates highlight hyperscalers' GW-scale behemoths. Locations cluster near cheap power/cool climates (e.g., US Midwest, Nordic Europe, Chinese inland), but transparency lags—only ~20% disclose full energy profiles.

    • Estimated Top 10–15 (by Power Capacity, 2025; Scaled to Top 30 Projection): Based on announcements, these represent ~70% of GW-scale pipeline. The full 30 would add ~10–15 GW more (e.g., edge sites in India/Africa via partnerships).
      Rank
      Facility/Owner
      Location
      Power Capacity (MW)
      Key Notes/Impact
      1
      Stargate (OpenAI/Oracle)
      Texas, US
      5,000 (multi-site)
      $500B project; 10 sites, nuclear-powered; trains frontier models like o1.
      2
      Hyperion (Meta)
      Louisiana, US
      2,000
      30x typical data center; liquid cooling; boosts Llama models.
      3
      xAI Colossus (xAI)
      Memphis, TN, US
      1,200 (expanding)
      100K Nvidia GPUs; Grok training; grid strain led to blackouts.
      4
      Google Hamina
      Finland
      1,000+
      Renewables-heavy; AI for climate modeling; water-efficient.
      5
      Microsoft Mount Pleasant
      Iowa, US
      1,000
      $10B campus; Azure AI; wind/solar hybrid.
      6
      AWS Project Amelia
      Ohio, US
      900
      Bedrock AI; carbon-neutral goal by 2030.
      7
      Lancium Clean Campus
      Texas, US
      1,200 (by 2026)
      50K GPUs/building; on-site gas gen; methane capture.
      8
      Baidu AI Cloud (unnamed)
      Inner Mongolia, China
      800
      State-backed; powers Ernie Bot; coal-dominant.
      9
      Tencent Ningxia
      China
      700
      Hunyuan AI; hydro integration.
      10
      CoreWeave GPU Cloud
      New Jersey, US
      600
      Specialized AI; 30–40% energy savings via immersion cooling.
      11–20
      Various (Google/Apple US fabs)
      US (AZ/TX/OH)
      300–500 each
      $500B Apple plan; chip-AI hybrid; nuclear pilots.
      21–30
      Edge hubs (Nvidia/GAIIP)
      France/S. Korea/India
      100–300 each
      Democratized access; solar-powered for Global South youth AI training.
      Projections: Top 30 total ~20–25 GW (8–9% US electricity by 2035). Sources: IEA, Goldman Sachs, TechChilli rankings. Gaps: Africa/India underrepresented (e.g., Nigeria's AI hubs at 50–100 MW), risking "deep brain" exclusion.

    4. Location, Sharing, and Priority Action: Stakes for 8 Billion LivesMapping these epicenters isn't just logistical—it's geopolitical and ethical, echoing the Indochina belt's "win-win" intel but at planetary scale. Poor siting exacerbates inequality (e.g., US Southwest water use up 20–34% for cooling, per Google/Microsoft reports), while shared transparency enables optimization.

    • Energy Impacts: 415 TWh (1.5% global electricity, 2024) → 945 TWh (2030), rivaling aviation's CO2 (1.7 Gt added 2025–2030). But AI offsets: 10–20% grid efficiency gains via predictive maintenance.
    • Societal Stakes: For 8B humans, these factories determine AI's "nature"—equitable (e.g., AlphaFold3 accelerating vaccines for 1B in Global South) or extractive (e.g., 51% Google emissions rise 2019–2024). Youth in China/India/Africa (600M) could leverage them for billion-fold compute, but without priority action (e.g., IEA's call for 50% renewables by 2030), they fuel divides.
    • Priority Actions for Win-Win:
      1. Transparent Mapping: Mandate EU AI Act-style reporting (energy/water per model); global ISO standards (2025) for "sustainable AI."
      2. Equitable Siting: 40%+ in renewables-rich areas (e.g., Nordic hydro, African solar); co-locate with communities for jobs (e.g., 10K per GW-scale site).
      3. Shared Purpose: Open-source like AlphaFold Server (20 jobs/day limit, 2025); Nvidia's GAIIP for edge AI in underserved regions.
      4. Mitigation Tech: Liquid cooling (30–40% savings); nuclear SMRs (Meta/Amazon pilots by 2027–2030s).

    In Nvidia's ecosystem—partnering youth brains with agentic AI—these factories are the forge. Their ethical mapping ensures transformation benefits all, not just the 1% controlling $500B+ investments (e.g., OpenAI's Stargate). As IEA's Fatih Birol warns: AI is a "powerful tool"—but how we power it determines if it's fire or inferno for humanity. This race, like 1776's trade defiance, hinges on collaborative intel to scale win-win for deep populations.

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