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Sunday, May 1, 2022

 Debates mediated by Economist Journalists with Von Neumann's first 3 decades of 100 times moore


1962-1952

good news- unlike zero sum or less trade of consuming up things - life critical knowhow networking could connect way above zero sum trades; also renewable human and machine energies might be  future possible (The Economist termed these as entrepreneurial and post industrial revolution - though world economic forum now calss these industrial rev 3 and 4) and Japan society 5.0-

Jfk's interdependence modeling was mappable around Asia Rising models that had emerged out of Japan and were connecting far east coastal belth down to singpaore: specifiaclly supevilage models (rural keynesiasm with borlaug networkers  ) and supercity models (deminsgs recursive improvement and interconnecdtivity of enginess intergrating sme netwo0rks and through conatieristaion supercity shipping trades were above zero sum in ways that trade inside a contient could not be) both ecologically and entrepreneurially shipping is the core dynamic of world trade as distiguished from local trade- how you map connecyting of shiips to railroads matters (cars and planes may advance lives of richest but are not the gravity for sustainability fo the human race at least until or unelss renewable energy and zero waste are integrated);

it was foreseeable that the human population would double twice from c2 billion in 1940 to 4 billion 1975 to 8 billion in 2020 


1972-1962


1982-1972


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futures debates convened with alumni of 2025 report

2G decade of worldwide web starting 1990

3g decvade starting 2000

4g decade strating 2010

5g decade starting 2020 


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history prior to 1945 with birth of UN

unfortunately as world war 2 showe the white g8 nations (Uk France Italy, Rusia Germany , Euro, USA Canada) plus japan had designed world trade (accelarted by engines from 1760s but started by discovery  of new world navifation from 1490s) to exclude development of up to 80% of people

in fact another white G10 (portugal Spain Switezerland Austria, Belgium, Netherlands, Nordina...)   had contributed from late 15th c - starting with portugal and spain - they had started the mop0del of bet a nation's wealth on colonising; altgough  italian led trade to 1490 had turned med sea into mainly win-win trade, early italian navigaotrs hired by portugal , spain and Uk were ruthless people staffing boats and colonisation by slavery or press ganging 

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