We offer 3 Diary Viewpoints of 2025Report and welcome AI20s.com open co-eds notably female neuroscientists & tech wizards aligned to King Charles AI World Series. - Neumann-Einstein-Turing first suggested to Economist Journalists to map (exponential maths audit Trillion Dollar Markets) future back from 2025 in 1951; from 1984 forward see EconomistDiary.com/1984; for earlier stuff see also Neumann Ning; for some current stuff continue at this web - eg is water the artificial and human intelligence that can help millennilals be first renewable generation? Economistwater.com (EWa) and ED invite you to help us connect our futures alphabet A B D F G H J M S Wo U Y. At Neumann.ning.com -... we are in trouble - good trouble. Its as if everything we published from 73 years of Economist surveys with von neumann whom dad met in 1951 is history. That's good news- thanks 8 billion to AI Angel visiting Washington DC on 1 March 2023 :: ...Golden Oldie flashback: EconomistDiary.com schools brief 14 (1964):

Friday, July 22, 2022

related questions at sdgs.games and with SDGoats.com (Greatests Youth heroines!): Is sdgmetaverseprize the happiest year round free game ever played (how will its impact compare with first 19 Xprizes>? and which NFTsdgs will investors celebrate most; can celebrating Guterres decade of UN2.0 digital roadmapping change how govtech is benchmarked wherever you live or web?

name a decade & 3 extraodrinary impactful events as far as human lot is concerned:  eg 1860s death of james wilson calcutta 1860 seventeen years after founding The Economist's Royal Society Gossip Sheet; 1864 birth of Leland Stanford Junior; 1865 birth Berne Switzerland of ITU -click on what gravitated from each occurrence - debriefing

 The final edition of 2025 report concludes 80 years of surveys and mediation of what will humans eXPonentially do with 100 times ore tech each decade between 2025 and 1945. Ibn helping turn The Economist into the one of a kind global viewspaper my father has been described as both the first journalist of the internet and of sustainability development goals.

Actually my father's expereiential learning curve was a bit deeper than that. Dad was still bein homeschooled in Britith Emabassy in Moscow as he commenced his teenage years. And he ended his teenage years as a navigatir in allied bomber command Burma. Surviving world war 2 he had quite a detailed list  of design chnages the world of humans needed to make. These included;

Prevent mad men from ruling nations: particularly two (Hitler, Stlin) who got to war on opposte sides guarenteeing one will win

learn world war 1 biggest lesson; the winning side should not condemn losing peoples to lives of misery. Somehow their place needs to be redsigned so the pwople are empower to gow again with win-win trading opportunities

Lurking through the terrifying start to the 20th century, was that white empire models of tfade had so far exculded the vast majority of humans (living in Asia or Africa) from participating in engineering - most did not hav access to electriity grids.

You could say that Norman's navigation duties had blessed him with google maps in his head a deneration ahead of any jounalist or academic. It could lead to simplifying patter rules in worldwide advance in humanit.


For example it was a good thing for thne world that Americans in 1776 had told london to go away. Americans needed to expereiment with continetal scaling of engineering. Conversally the dismal consequence was london redoubled adminstration of most of Asia with next to no competence of engineering on a continetant scale, and with what compounded win-lose tradingBy th etime Gandhi started debating my maternal grandfather In Mumba - the question of independence for the quarter of humans livinhg on India's subcontient has been estimated as welth of tehse peopels compounding at less than a quarter ofof what engineering by and for the eoples of these lands might have advanced. And thats befor the tech exponetail of 100 time smore arrived as the gift of the greaest mathematician networks von neuammn, einstein, turing et al.


In this book we will try and catalogue entreneurial innovation form 5 contects

web 3 2 1 which have become the advanced games that the most digitally free pople have progressively played since 1990. Web 0 by which we mean  all tyhe advances of engines, electricity, telecommunication , computing but before being digitally webbed


web00 how people network in vilages without access to electricity grida and before solarv and mobile could with optimal partnering pkatforms celebrat the most extraordinary leaps in open sourcing deepest soliutions to the most extreme local changes of the sdgs


For coneience we will catalogue collaboration solutiosn by the 17 goals though we note that the human mind is not desighned to remebering let alone interacting 17 urgent golals. We offer this acronymy as a implere pathaway.


Betwen 1843-1860 The Economist asked quuen victoria's assistance to focus on 3 dimensions

126

PAW-Poverty*Agriculture_waterBy its cenetenaruy autobiography in 1943 the 6 main compasses has added SHE: SHecms*Health*Eductaion

In this framework goal 17 is what the economist caleld entrepreneurial revolution from 1976 -redesigning a world of partnerships through which sme netwirks counterbalanced any tendency of world domination by big corpiartion and gig gov

and goals 7-16 can be thought of world trade mapping transparency of any trillion dolar value chain's global and local market integration including what 100 times more etch can change and why sustaining 4 times more humans than alive in 1945 require chnaging to zero footprint technolgies if we wanted our children to have access to a world as naturally bountiful as that we aprents were born into Impliciti in thos avdnace of the human lot is distinguishinbgggod abd bad collaboration across boders and not just bordered analyis of comoetition poloicies. As Von Neummn would coach dad in 1951, we need to free next generations to way beyond zro some games- apps which multiply life critical knowhow wi-iwn in use unlike zero-sum consumption of things. End rule by macronomics of thing comnsumtion : celebrate win-win imaginabke if AI and hunan I win-wi and partner nature's evolutioary designs.


Monday, July 18, 2022

summary of likely futures of humanity to 2025 from 1984 if human emotional intel open & deep as nature

 from 2025report by macrae & macrae first published 1984 -tech scenarios first mapped 1982

Future History

Net Futures - The 2024 Report

Back in 1984 , Norman Macrae wrote "The 2024 Report: a future history of the next 40 years". It was the first book to:

  • provide readers with a brainstorming journey of what people in an internetworking world might do
  • predict that a new economy would emerge with revolutionary new productivity and social benefits enjoyed by all who interacted in a net-connected world

Our 1984 scenario of an internetworking world

Changing communications, and what makes people distant, bossy, etc

Changing national politics

Changing economics

Changing employment

Changing education


Our 1984 scenario of an internetworking world

The great technological event of the next 40 years will be the steady rise in importance of the Telecommunications-Computer terminal (TC for short)... Eventually books, files, television programmes, computer information and telecommunications will merge. We'll have this portable object which is a television screen with first a typewriter, later a voice activator attached. Afterwards it will be minaturised so that your personal access instrument can be carried in your buttonhole, but there will be these cheap terminals around everywhere, more widely than telephones of 1984. The terminals will be used to access databases anywhere in the globe, and will become the brainworker's mobile place of work. Brainworkers, which will increasingly mean all workers, will be able to live in Tahiti if they want to and telecommute daily to the New York or Tokyo or Hamburg office through which they work. In the satellite age costs of transmission will not depend mainly on distance. And knowledge once digitalised can be replicated for use anywhere almost instantly.

Over the last decade, I have written many articles in The Economist and delivered lectures in nearly 30 countries across the world saying the future should be much more rosy. This book explores the lovely future people could have if only all democrats made the right decisions.

Norman Macrae, 1984.


Changing communications, and what makes people distant, bossy etc

Telecommunications are now recognised as the third of the three great transport revolutions that have, in swift succession, transformed society in the past two hundred years. First, were the railways; second the automobile; and third, telecommunications-attached-to-the-computer, which was bound to be the most far-reaching because in telecommunications, once the infrastructure is installed, the cost of use does not depend greatly on distance. So by the early years of the twenty-first century brainworkers - which in rich countries already meant most workers - no longer need to live near their work.

All three revolutions were opposed by the ruling establishments of their time, and therefore emerged fastest where government was weak. All three brought great new freedoms to the common man, but the railway and motor-car ages temporarily made access to capital the most important source of economic power. As most men and women did not like being bossed about by capitalists who could become more powerful because they were born stinking rich, they voted to give greater economic power to governments during the railway and motor-car ages. This was economically inefficient, and also made tyrannies more likely and more terrible. The information revolution was fortunately the exact opposite of the steam engine's industrial revolution and of Henry Ford's mass production automobile revolution in this respect. The steam engine and mass production has made start-up costs for the individual entrepreneur larger and larger, so that in both the steam and automobile ages to quote Bell Canada's Gordon Thompson in the early 1970s, there was 'no way an ordinary citizen could walk into a modern complex factory and use its facilities to construct something useful for himself'. But, as Thompson forecast, the databases of the next decades were places into which every part-time enthusiast could tele-commute. In all jobs connected with the use of information, start-up costs for the individual entrepreneur in 1984-2024 have grown smaller and smaller. It was 'never thus', said Thompson, 'with power shovels and punch presses'.

In consequence, in the TC age, the most important economic resource is no longer ownership of or access to capital, but has become the ability to use readily available knowledge intelligently and entrepreneurially.

Changing national politics

For a region's people to succeed in the Telecommuting Age there are four main requirements - satisfied in places as far apart ad Guam and Queensland and Cape Province and California and Penang and Scotland. First , as the prophet John Naisbitt said in 1982, 'the languages needed for the immediate future are computer and English'. Second, the area has to be a nice one in which to live. Third, it is important that all income earners should adapt happily to a 'cafeteria of compensation' schemes. These allow the individual employee to decide what mix (s)he wants of salary, job objectives, career aims, flexitime, job sharing, long or short holidays, fringe benefits or fringe nuisances. Fourth, there needs to be a competitive and quickly changing telecommunications system. The TC age is making understanding of these requirements increasingly transparent among human beings worldwide.

Governments at first tried to impede or regulate much of this, but an early discovery of the Telecommutung age was that we could change the way we chose our governments. Until the 1990s we had pretended to ourselves that we could alter our lifestyles by choosing on each Tuesday or Thursday every four years whether Mr Reagan or Mr Carter , Mrs Thatcher or Mr Kinnock, was putting on the tribal demonstration which at that particular moment annoyed us less. After the advent of the TC we found that the more sensible and direct way in which a free man or woman could choose government was by voting with his or her feet. The individual could go to live in any area where the government - which could from then on be a very local government - permitted the lifestyle, rules and customs which suited that human being.

Changing Economics

The introduction of the international Centrobank was the last great act of government before government grew much less important. It was not a conception of policy-making governments at all, but emerged from the first computerised town meeting of the world.

By 2005 the gap in income and expectations between the rich and poor nations was recognised to be man's most dangerous problem. Internet linked television channels in sixty-eight countries invited their viewers to participate in a computerised conference about it, in the form of a series of weekly programmes. Recommendations tapped in by viewers were tried out on a computer model of the world economy. If recommendations were shown by the model to be likely to make the world economic situation worse, they were to be discarded. If recommendations were reported by the model to make the economic situation in poor countries better, they were retained for 'ongoing computer analysis' in the next programme.

In 2024 it is easy to see this as a forerunner of the TC conferences which play so large a part in our lives today, both as pastime and principal innovative device in business. But the truth of this 2005 breakthrough tends to irk the highbrow. It succeeded because it was initially a rather downmarket network television programme. About 400 million people watched the first programme, and 3 million individuals or groups tapped in suggestions. Around 99 per cent of these were rejected by the computer as likely to increase the unhappiness of mankind. It became known that the rejects included suggestions submitted by the World Council of Churches and by many other pressure groups. This still left 31,000 suggestions that were accepted by the computer as worthy of ongoing analysis. As these were honed, and details were added to the most interesting, an exciting consensus began to emerge. Later programmes were watched by nearly a billion people as it became recognised that something important was being born.

These audiences were swollen by successful telegimmicks. The presenter of the first part of the first programme was a roly-poly professor who was that year's Nobel laureate in economics, and who proved a natural television personality. He explained that economists now agreed that aid programmes could sometimes help poor countries, but sometimes most definitely made their circumstances worse. When Mexico was inflating at over 80 per cent a year in the early 1980s , the inflow to it of huge loanable funds made its inflation even faster and its crash more certain. The professor set Mexico's 1979-1981 economy on the model, pumped in the loaned funds and showed how all the indicators ( higher inflation, lower real gross domestic product and so on) then flashed red, signaling an economy getting worse, rather than green, signaling an economy getting better. ..The professor then put the model back to mirror the contemporary world of 2005, and played into it various nostrums that had been recommended by politicians of left, right and centre, but mostly left. The dials generally flashed red. Then the professor provided another set of recommendations , and asked viewers who wished to play to tap in their own guesses on the consequent movement of key economics variables in the model. Those who got their guesses right to within a set error were told they had qualified for a second round of a knock-out economic guesstimators' world championship. Knockout competitions of this sort continued for viewers throughout the series of programmes.

In the second part of that first programme, the presenters dared to introduce two political decisions into the game. They said that government-to-government aid programmes had been particularly popular among politicians during the age of over-government, but there was growing agreement that government-to-government aid was the worst method of hand-out. The excessive role played by governments in poor countries was one of the barriers to their economic advance, and a main destroyer of their people's freedom. Could anyone have thought it would be wise to give aid to President Mbogo?

In consequence, the most successful economic aid programmes had been those operated through the International Monetary Fund, which imposed conditions on how borrowing governments should operate. The professor showed that IMF-monitored operations in most years had brought more green flashes from the model than red. But this involved IMF officials - often from the rich countries - in telling governments of poor countries what to do; and one of the objectives of this town meeting of the world was to diminish such embarrassments.

The first questions to be asked in the next few programmes, said the compilers, were 1) which countries should qualify for aid? ; and having decided that, 2) up to what limits and conditions? ; and 3) through what mechanisms? They promised that later programmes after the first half-dozen would examine how any scheme could be used to diminish the power of governments and increase the power of free markets and free people.

Changing employment

In a typical 21st C scene, obedience to consumer needs is shown by every car plant in the world because of better and more customised information available on all our TCs. Most people buying a car in 2024 will key into their special requirements into their TCs.

The TC will reply: "You can get a customised car which meets all of your specifications by putting personalised instructions on the software of the assembly line's robots in one of these factories (choice of nine) requesting that the next car on the line be modified as you dictate. But that would cost up to $40,000 (Click to factories for quotations and credit facilities). For a fifth of that price, you can meet most of your requirements by the following standard computer programme at present scheduled for production in June at Nissan Kanpur; or July at Ford Manila (and so on). Click to factories for precise specifications and prices.

All of this has become commonplace after 2000. How has it affected employment?

For a new industry of 2019-2024 let us cite the intendedly short-lived example of the Clark-Schmidt Robot Gardener. Matthew Clark was a 53-year old on his third university course (he had started the other two at the ages of nineteen and thirty-seven respectively) telecommuted through the University of Southern California, although he took it while living in his native Australia , when, together with two other student's telecommuting through USC's database, he devised a system for a robot-driven lawnmower which could also scan soil and assess the possibilities for reseeding. It signaled the videos to be called up on your TC to show alternative uses for the soil in your garden. If you picked one video display that particularly suited your taste, you keyed in its number into the Robot Gardener and it signaled back, 'put such-and-such chemical into my tank and seeds 1234, 3456 (et cetera), plus software program 29387 - both orderable through your TC - into my reseeder.'

Clark and his two colleagues put their tentative ideas for this device on the researchers' database monitored by the University of Southern California. The entry numbers to the USC database were held by people who had promised to accept the computer's judgement of the value of any ideas they might contribute to projects entered on it. In all, 1213 people - domiciled from Hanoi through Penang and Capri and Bermuda back to Queensland in Australia itself - tapped in suggestions for improvements, of which 176 were accepted nby the computer as worthwhile. The payments recommended by the computer ranged from $42 ( for a cosmetic improvement recommended by an eleven-year-old schoolboy) to one tenth of the equity (eventually worth several million dollars) for a proposal by a research team from another telecommuting university which proved important enough for Clark to feel slightly guilty about calling the Robot Gardener after himself.

When the improvements suggested by these 176 contributors had been incorporated by Clark into the appropriate software program for making the Robot Gardener , it was advertised on USC's entrepreneur-browsing program available on any TC. Entry numbers for the lowest echelons of this can be bought for a very few dollars, but the Robot Gardener was put on a higher echelon because USC's computer had signaled this was a potential quick winner.

One of those who had paid for an expensive entry number into browsing among good 'proffered opportunity products' (POPs) was a Dutchman called Carl Schmidt. He had become a successful 'arranging producer' in an earlier venture, and now occupied himself browsing through his TC looking for a second bonanza. He made an offer to Clark to tale an option for launch in return for a fairly complicates programme of profit sharing, which in practice (because arranging is nowadays a more skilled job than inventing) eventually gave Schmidt more money than Clark. Clark accepted this and Schmidt produced a prototype within three days by reprogramming robots in an experimental plant. A video of the prototype was put on consumers' TC channels worldwide the next week, and most of the 400 odd gardeners' TC channels round the world picked it out within days as a 'best buy'.

Schmidt's video advertisement said 'If you key in your order now with your credit number, you can get a Robot Gardener for a bargain price (applies to the first 10,000 orders only). Tenders are also invited for part of the equity.' The advance orders and bids for equity made it possible to finance assembly of the Robot Gardener for early-bid customers within a few weeks...

Note that there was never any intention that Robot Gardeners Inc should grow into a huge and long-lasting company. Clark and Schmidt are already researching and browsing into other possibilities, on separate courses. About fifty of those who succeeded by early participation in this venture hope to become the equivalent of Clark and Schmidt in other things.

At no stage has this enormously successful manufacturing venture employed more than 1000 people. It is therefore true that the loss of nine-tenths of manufacturing jobs , which we saw has been highest in car-making in rich countries, has also been true there in manufacturing jobs as a whole. Where these countries had 20-40 per cent of their workforces in manufacturing in 1974, they typically have 2-4 per cent now.

This is not an unprecedented rundown. In the 1890s around half of the workforce in countries like the United States were in three occupations: agriculture, domestic service and jobs to do with horse transport. By the 1970s these three were down to 4 per cent of the workforce. If this had been foretold in the 1890s, there would have been a wail. It would have been said that half the population was fit only to be farmworkers, parlourmaids and sweepers-up of horse manure. Where would this half find jobs? The answer was by the 1970s the majority of them were much more fully employed ( because more married women joined the workforce) doing jobs that would have sounded double-Dutch in the 1890s: extracting oil instead of fish out of the North Sea; working as computer programmers, or as television engineers, or as package-holiday tour operators chartering jet aircraft.

The move in jobs in the past fifty years in the rich countries has been out of manufacturing and into telecommuting.

Changing education

There has been a sea-change in the traditional ages on man. Compared with 1974 our children in 2024 generally go out to paid work (especially computer programming work) much earlier, maybe starting at nine, maybe at twelve, and we do not exploit them. But young adults of twenty-three to forty-five stay at home to play much more than in 1974; it is quite usual today for one parent (probably now generally the father, although sometimes the mother) to stay at home during the period when young children are growing up. And today adults of forty-three to ninety-three go back to school - via computerised learning - much more than they did in 1974.

In most of the rich countries in 2024 children are not allowed to leave school until they pass their Preliminary Exam. About 5 per cent of American children passed their exam last year before their eight birthday, but the median age for passing it in 2024 is ten-and-a-half, and remedial education is generally needed if a child has not passed it by the age of fifteen.

A child who passes his Prelim can decide whether to tale a job at once, and take up the remainder of his twelve years of free schooling later; or he can pass on to secondary schooling forthwith, and start to study for his Higher Diploma.

The mode of learning for the under-twelves is nowadays generally computer-generated. The child sits at home or with a group of friends or (more rarely) in an actual, traditional school building. She or he will be in touch with a computer program that has discovered , during a preliminary assessment, her or his individual learning pattern. The computer will decide what next questions to ask or task to set after each response from each child.

A school teacher assessor, who may live half a world away, will generally have been hired, via the voucher system by the family for each individual child. A good assessor will probably have vouchers to monitor the progress of twenty-five individual children, although some parents prefer to employ groups of assessors - one following the child's progress in emotional balance, one in mathematics, one in civilized living, and so on - and these groups band together in telecommuting schools.

Many communities and districts also have on-the-spot 'uncles' and 'aunts'. They monitor childrens' educational performance by browsing through the TC and also run play groups where they meet and get to know the children personally...

Some of the parents who have temporarily opted out of employment to be a family educator also put up material on the TC s for other parents to consult. Sometimes the advice is given for free, sometimes as a business. It is a business for Joshua Ginsberg. He puts a parents advice newsletter on the TC , usually monthly. Over 300,000 people subscribe to it, nowadays at a 25-cent fee per person, or less if you accept attached advertisements. Here's an entry from the current newsletter:

"Now that TCs are universal and can access libraries of books, 3-d video, computer programs, you name it, it is clear that the tasks of both the Educator and the Communicator are far more stimulating that ten years ago.

One of my recent lessons with my ten-year-old daughter Julie was in art appreciation. In the standard art appreciation course the TC shows replicas of famous artists' pictures, and a computer asks the pupil to match the artist to the picture. Julie said to the computer that it would be fun to see Constable's Haywain as Picasso might have drawn it. The computer obliged with its interpretation , and then ten more stylised haywains appeared together with the question 'who might have drawn these?'. I believe we are the first to have prompted the TC along this road, but it may now become a standard question when the computer recognises a child with similar learning patterns to Julie's.

It is sometimes said that today's isolated sort of teaching has robbed children of the capacity to play and interact with other children. This is nonsense. We ensure that Julie and her four year old brother Pharon have lots of time to play with children in our neighbourhood . But in work we do prefer to interact with children who are of mutual advantage to Julie and to each other. The computer is an ace teacher, but so are people. You really learn things if you can teach them to someone else. Our computer has helped us to find a group of four including Julie with common interests, who each have expertise in some particular areas to teach the others.

The TC also makes it easier to play games within the family. My parents used to play draughts, halma, then chess with me. They used to try to be nice to me and let me win. This condescending kindness humiliated me, and I always worked frenetically to beat my younger brother (who therefore always lost and dissolved into tears.) Today Julie, Pharon and I play halma together against the graded computer, and Julie and I play it at chess. The computer knows Pharon's standard of play at halma and Julie's and mine at chess. Its default setting is at that level where each of us can win but only if we play at our best. Thus Pharon sometimes wins his halma game while Julie and I are simultaneously losing our chess game, and this rightly gives Pharon a feeling of achievement. When Julie and I have lost at chess, we usually ask the computer to re-rerun the game, stopping at out nmistakes and giving a commentary. As it is a friendly computer it does a marvelous job of consoling us. Last week it told Julie that the world champion actually once made the same mistake as she had done - would she like to see that game?

I intend to devote the next two letters to the subjects I have discussed here , but retailing the best of your suggestions instead of droning on with mine."

While the computer's role in children's education is mainly that of instructor (discovering a child's learning pattern and responding to it) and learning group matcher, its main role in higher education is as a store of knowledge. Although a computer can only know what Man has taught it, it has this huge advantage. No individual man lives or studies long enough to imbibe within himself all the skills and resources that are the product of the millennia of man's quest for knowledge, all the riches and details from man's inheritance of learning passed on from generation to generation. But any computer today can inherit and call up instantly any skill which exists anywhere in the form of a program.

This is why automatically updated databases are today the principal instruments of higher education and academic research. It is difficult for our generation to conceive that only forty years ago our scientists acted as tortoise-like discoverers of knowledge, confined to small and jealous cliques with random and restricted methods of communicating ideas. Down until the 1980s the world has several hundred sepaate cancer research organisations with no central co-ordinating database.

SDGoal 1 - is it possible to design finance so that each next child (girl, boy, black, brown or white) has a fair chance at life

INTRODUCTION TO) THE SDGS.games people play

 Not everyone agrees but in the 80 years my family has been collaboratively surveying the future sustainability exponentials of our species, we have seen valuing sustainability's compound opportunities and threats as primarily an educational and mathematical mapping question.

 We have been assuming that the era 2025-1945 is extraordinary in that 100 times more etch has been compounded each decade. Earlier in 1936, My father was 13 still home schooled at Brtitish Embassy in Moscow when he first started being curious about how fast tech was changing, as well as nuclear's potentiallyterminal puzzle. Not only was world war2 looking inevitable but a madman looked due to be on one of the winning sides. Norman's father probably had as much intel on Stalin and Hitler as anyone. Grandad had been doing graduate studies in Religion at Heidelberg when world war 1 broke out. Instead of a life as a seric his linguistics skills made him useful as a minor spy from world war 1 onwards; that explains why dad had grown up in British embassies across Europe..

 The teenage Norman wasn't sure of the multiplier but clearly tech was compounding at a rate far faster than when engines first appeared in Glasgow 1760. Soon dad was spending his last days as teen navigating air planes allied bomber command out of Burma, Surviving world war 2, dad was determined to explore system design optimistically. He found himself in the right places to do so in the last class of Keynes at Cambridge, invited to intern at The Economist in what became a half century job, meeting von neumann in princeton 1951-all conformed 100 times was the multiplier any journalist exploring old and new millennium humanity needed to value most. Dad's second foreign assignment at The Economist was to be the only journalist at the 1955 birth of the European Union 1955

In this last of my family's 2025 reports on odds of human sustainability it seemed simplest to organise chapters by the UN's 17 sustainability goals. That way if you are most concerned with some of them we hope we have mapped some clues of where first to look for solutions . We will alsi do what we can to update www.2025report.com and related blogs with readers feedback. However in line with the challenges of valuing machines humanly enough - may we introduce five sorts of web mindset which determine how communities of people network as a function of how much tech the have access to 


  • web00  no access to electricity
  • web0 acess to electricity but no access to digital sharing
  • web 1 personal computer networking but no connection with data mobilised from every gps on the planet
  • web 2 dimensional screen or single number manually analysed governance and spaces for innovating
  • web 3 full 3 dimensional 5 human semse natural blending of ai and himan intel integral with real time data interactions from everywhere, every human and every other natural lifeform 

In reviewing what works to advnace the human lot on the goals shown, we need to keep an open mind to what is good and bad about both competition and collaboration. For example if peace is a serious goal, then just because you are competitively stronger or bigger than a neighbour regarding weapons does not mean it is good to invade your neighbor. While that may be an obvious exanple of bad competition, consider some examples of bad (or undeveloped) collaboration. In sdg4 we catalogue some wonderful solutions educatirs have found -eg illiteracy can be ended in 90 days - but which are not being tried out because they are underknown. Tellingly ending illiteracy the way Indian Montesorri netwirks know how to do is not even an issue of education needs more money; its primarily about  designing space in schools (or in communities with families) so that older children are celebrated for coaching younger children. Mathematically valuing collaboration win-wins was the first ipurpose of 100 times more tech that von neumann and my father discussed during neummans last 7 years of life. If you looked back at the first 180 years of engineering 1940 to 1760 almost everything to do with money became a game of consuming up things. The point to note is that when webs hsare life critical knowhow win-win value spreads unlike the zero sum game of consuming up things -whch also means that we ekders leave our children with less natural resources to generate with. Destroying our children's futures is not what nature's evolutionary codes associate with her smarter species. If we are detremined to compound that with 100 times more technolgy no wonder our species is going to be the next dodo. The positive way to put this is that the 2020s are the most exciting time to be alive. What we web together will dtermine the futureoflife in a way that no geneartion has or ever needed to innovate.  

Friday, July 8, 2022

curating solutions goal by sdgoal students and teachers need to know where to replicate by varaibles eg web00-web3,, priotise, celebrate

 1 web0- 1 billion poorest vilage women solutions proven 1996-1972 total chnage of western aid pioneered by 1 billion vilage wome most connected to former royal dutch shell regional ceo Fazle Abed: wherever possible design microfrancises - positive cashflow however small led by vilage motehrs directed at most urgent needs - eg rice to end starvation; veggies needed for childrens nutrition to have enough vitamins; door to door 10 most basic medicines- this franchise began rural last mile health services- with a 300 home route one vilage mother would become trusted as other health services were linkedin

 
when eg bangaldesh vilage wonen did apply for a grant they focused on designing a solution needed across their hemisphere- ie being the regions best aid collab- the first 2 franchises oral rehydration and mass vaccination took brac nationwide - the sponsor for tehse first 2 grants was epidemiologists and then UN leader James Grant- his family having been missionaries in china- he helped arrange swaps - china's tropical vilage women needed oral rehydartion too; china gladly donated its best rice variants for last mile food security - solution swaps contunued theorgh the last quarer century of no access to eledctricity grieds- what happened next was search for partners who wanted vilage women to leapfrog with silar and mobile

bangladesh women went on to design the world's largewst cashless banking sustems in term sof poulatuion served and web 1 tech ie mobile text 

theree huge finacial lessos needed by anyone teachning the ssutainability generation

transformation of aid - minimise charity (if a microfranchise sme soultion can be found trapping people in endless charity is not only uneconoic but immoral

whenever fazle abed found partners offereing enw tech he always designed a model priortising betetr finace for the poorest - after all teh savings og going beyond paper could make it economical to serve the unbanked - ie those whose transcations might be so small that they would not be economic in days of paper accounting

abed was always concerned taht when his vilage women got involved in a market they found ways to lead the value chain design so that ther=y were never squeezed out- abed was fortuate - he made his bigegst mistake at the start of chnaging from oil ceo to bangladesh rural advance collaborations- he soent all his money rebuilding 15000 vilage hoems that the war of imdependence had flattened in his jhoem region- no sooner than tehse were built than he saw doens of mother dying a wek ofs tarvation , score sog infants dying of dehydartion ; this is both what motivated his urgency in designing best everr microfranchsies but gave him scal in the supply chain -by serving a metavilage of 100000 peopel at a time brac became bothing elading wholesaler as well as lead droduct R&D in any market sequenced to advance sustainability - we will see that the markets chose 1962-1996 math sdgs 1-5 with goal 6 sanitation bodering on how vilagers could prevent cities from dumping waste on them - at the same time over abed's lif 2019-1972 bangladesh progressed from 90% rural to 70% with a 50-%0% balance matching national goal 2050


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Saturday, July 2, 2022

 40 years ago, authors, readers and journalists of 2025report.com started web surveys of 2 most important skills to help kids experience by 3 years leaps : ie 3 , 6. 9. 12, 15, 18. 21 - check our latest updates - we will be delighted in 2022-23 www.sdgmetaverseprize.org - sgd 4 teams add to out catalogue!


Teams of 2-6 people must choose one of UN's 17 SDgoals and register before 22 dec 2022

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From Twitter wizarding worlds of education - flatiron NY and N bethesda MD, probably happiest advance in ed of 6-9 we have found is https://www.youtube.com/c/SuperKidz  https://mettaa.games/

what's yours?




Friday, July 1, 2022

Across ages

ed3 dao

education luminaries paned massively celebrated- teens up sdgmetaverseprize.org (youth society co-creating enetrepreneur competitions - group entrepreneur projevcts as important as individual ones on all urgen sustainability chalenges linking communities with analagous priority solutions facing borderless chalenges such as climate , end pandemics, connect peace worldwide 


By 3 mother or community access/knowledge nutrition and rehydration -without death or stunting will occur

Through 3 love/saftey


By 6 litearcy - 90 day intervention solution Lucknow

Playschool as workdwide new university collaboration -see alumni fazle abed including yidan prize, lego foundation, Cambridge U


7-9 Metaai.games ; don't be that kid kid/parnet/school bookclub; star of expoereincing both social (including cross cultural confidence) intel and financial literacy; access to initial skils dahboard eg khan academ early maths

opportunity to begin flow in practuce area - eg music, sport, coding, art ,... beginn digital literacy journey -new zealmnd;s the elarningweb clarified tjis from 1990s and inspired 10 million chinese families (ie nationwide consciouness)


9-12 access peer to peer health club including self - eg zen, or maharushi; continue digital literacy journey; value secidary schilarships if girls in particular are underserved; note alumni of sceodary scholarship camfed africa became next generation of teachers- access to modern version of laguage exchngae between families

13-15 Clarity as to what age ege child will end full time ed - last 2 yeras should maximise network and entrepreneurship; ending of standard examination as part of 21st c blended education - see eg www.teachforun.com  -see finland model where afternnons maximise sevrice expereince in community (depends on there being no bad communities); note also service community projects can start from 6 up - see barcelona american international school 20 year experience; make sure that school or hub at school gate continues any local culutral skill opportunities; real and digital library as apprentice ops crossroads- see also german model of apprenticeship

15-18 nesure livelihood access opporti=unities for all; microcolleg/bacalaureates and one year stackable degrees connevcetd to youths own dashboard redefines new universiyty colaboration that youth as sdustainability generation will need to apply 

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connection of education with every other susdtainability goal - see eg abedmooc.com model of 30+ massive collboartioons of women empowerment

 Hello dont know if you have time for this conversation starter - no worries if not

Back in the early 2000s I met olaf virtually on the European Union 200 nation knowledgeboard.com and Bryan virtually in Howard Rheingolds network debates including what Bryan meant in coining word MOOC!

The EU had declared it would be the world's leading knowledege society.Kboard assembled content mainly supplied by 10 volunteer editors of special interest subnetworks

Olaf who is lead technologist at rabobank moderated knowhow for NGOS out of Netherlands; From 10 years at Price Waterhose, I was interested in intellectual capital and auditing trust but the only sig vacancy was emotional intelligence which turned out to be perfect for me to explore human and artificial intel's emerging conflicts with permission to Q&A anyone After 3 years we found that for whatever Luxembourg reasoning kboard was primarily designed around replacing human workers with tech - and notably i was fired for saying thats not what my contributor networks (2nd largest after olaf's) were interested in. Actually by now I had been to EU headquarters 4 times  and 4 other summits hosted out of Finland, Berlin, Luxembourg & Barcelona- if relevant have lot of stories of wars between bureacrats and humans are spun by Brussels top.. Back to https://rheingold.com/ -   one of san franciscos elders of how humanly can we make community building tech. And Bryan knows better than I but the 2000s dynnamic Howard gravitated multiplied much deeper/ honest interactive  brainpower than kboard even though I imagine kboard was 10-100 times more resourced. I actually consulted on one professional project of Rheingolds - the attempt to design a dotcom space for any and every future professional association. All of this was being done with what I now realise was the end of web1 tech where people linked in through personal computers even if they had started mobile telecoms. If we leap forward to today , i have never seen a more exciting professional association model than that Vriti has founded. Its in web3 both how it communicates, how st8udents and teachers futures are morphing and how it funds ed3 nft. So i was wondering if we have questions for each other and linking Vriti in particular. Actually as a European I am terrified by what old govs are doing there. I am trying to celebrate guterres un2.0 with any european who will chat with me. The netherlands is absolutely the smartest place for applying 50 years of end poverty networking by women; geneva is the un;s open tech hub since 1945 due to ITU. As for what sustainability else to map out of west I dont know but aim to publish my last book in  Economist's and Von Neumann's 2025Report genre  next year -very raw refs for this being co-edited at  www.edunomist.com If you ever pass through Flatiron district NY please say as thats where 2025's main creative studio breathes.